Alcione 0-2 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.57
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.08
6+ Goals
7%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 31% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
55%
Away Win
62%
-6.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
0.32/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.74
-62% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcione
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
1 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
14.09.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Alcione İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
0-2
AWAY Padova Calcio
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio got the better of Alcione 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Alcione had 39% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 61%, shots finished 6-18.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Padova Calcio?

Alcione 0-2 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alcione 20%, draw 25%, Padova Calcio 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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