Pianese 3-2 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
46%
-9.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 49%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
2.06/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.32
+96% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pianese
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pescara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2024 Pescara Pescara 2-1 HT 0-1 Pianese Pianese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
3-2
AWAY Pescara
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese squeezed past Pescara 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Pianese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pianese had 34% of the ball to Pescara's 66%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Pescara?

Pianese 3-2 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pianese 36%, draw 28%, Pescara 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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