Pescara 2-1 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 33% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.16/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/0.84
+26% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +79%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
2-1
AWAY Pianese
67% Ball Possession 33%
28 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara nicked a narrow win over Pianese 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pescara as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pescara had 67% of the ball to Pianese's 33%, shots finished 28-5.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Pianese?

Pescara 2-1 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pescara 51%, draw 24%, Pianese 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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