Novara 0-0 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Sep 2024

Novara
0-0 HT 0-0
Lecco
📅16/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.57
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.20/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.11
+3% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lecco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.02.2023 Lecco Lecco 3-1 HT 2-0 Novara Novara İTC
16.10.2022 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 0-2 Lecco Lecco İTC
07.03.2021 Novara Novara 3-0 HT 2-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
11.11.2020 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
19.01.2020 Lecco Lecco 3-2 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
07.09.2019 Novara Novara 3-0 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
0-0
AWAY Lecco
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novara vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara and Lecco played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Novara had 44% of the ball to Lecco's 56%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lecco led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Novara and 1.50 for Lecco.

What was the final score of Novara vs Lecco?

Novara 0-0 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Novara 35%, draw 29%, Lecco 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lecco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lecco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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