Lucchese 2-2 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Sep 2024

📅16/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.5
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.32/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.28
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Rimini
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Lucchese Lucchese 2-1 HT 2-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
26.10.2023 Rimini Rimini 2-0 HT 1-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
28.01.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-1 HT 0-1 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
24.09.2022 Lucchese Lucchese 2-1 HT 2-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
2-2
AWAY Rimini
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucchese and Rimini shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lucchese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lucchese had 60% of the ball to Rimini's 40%, shots finished 15-19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lucchese had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Lucchese and 1.25 for Rimini.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Rimini?

Lucchese 2-2 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 42%, draw 28%, Rimini 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lucchese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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