Lucchese 2-1 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Mar 2024

Lucchese
2-1 HT 2-0
Rimini
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Lucchese vs Rimini Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lucchese v Rimini — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.29/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.18
-3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Lucchese vs Rimini Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rimini
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2023 Rimini Rimini 2-0 HT 1-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
28.01.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-1 HT 0-1 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
24.09.2022 Lucchese Lucchese 2-1 HT 2-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucchese nicked a narrow win over Rimini 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lucchese as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lucchese and 1.33 for Rimini.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Rimini?

Lucchese 2-1 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 42%, draw 29%, Rimini 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lucchese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lucchese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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