Renate 0-1 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.4pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.4pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 58%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
0.61/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.88
-35% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
289 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Padova Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
25.03.2023 Renate Renate 2-0 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
27.11.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
21.12.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
28.08.2021 Renate Renate 0-3 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
02.06.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-3 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
0-1
AWAY Padova Calcio
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio squeezed past Renate 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Renate had 43% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 57%, shots finished 3-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renate had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Renate and 1.00 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Renate vs Padova Calcio?

Renate 0-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Renate 22%, draw 31%, Padova Calcio 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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