Torre Neapolis 1-1 Taranto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.87
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Taranto EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.19/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.60
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torre Neapolis
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Taranto
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2023 Taranto Taranto 3-1 HT 2-1 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
15.01.2023 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
14.09.2022 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 2-1 HT 1-1 Taranto Taranto İTC
22.12.2021 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 1-2 HT 1-1 Taranto Taranto İTC
29.08.2021 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torre Neapolis
1-1
AWAY Taranto
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torre Neapolis vs Taranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torre Neapolis and Taranto shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Torre Neapolis had 54% of the ball to Taranto's 46%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Taranto led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Torre Neapolis and 1.20 for Taranto.

What was the final score of Torre Neapolis vs Taranto?

Torre Neapolis 1-1 Taranto in the Italy - Serie C on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torre Neapolis vs Taranto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torre Neapolis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torre Neapolis 38%, draw 31%, Taranto 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torre Neapolis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torre Neapolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
3 Mar 2024
16:00 Virtus Francavilla vs US Latina Analysis →
16:00 Lucchese vs Rimini Analysis →
16:00 Renate vs Padova Calcio Analysis →
16:00 Catania vs Nuova Monterosi Analysis →
18:15 Sestri Levante vs SPAL Analysis →
20:30 Picerno vs SS Monopoli Analysis →