Catania 1-1 Nuova Monterosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.49
6+ Goals
16%
13.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.49 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.2pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 16%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.47/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.88
-15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
469 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.10.2023 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi 1-1 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTC
05.03.2022 Catania Catania 3-1 HT 1-0 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi İTC
24.10.2021 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi 1-4 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
1-1
AWAY Nuova Monterosi
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catania vs Nuova Monterosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania and Nuova Monterosi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Catania carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catania had 61% of the ball to Nuova Monterosi's 39%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Catania had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Catania and 1.00 for Nuova Monterosi.

What was the final score of Catania vs Nuova Monterosi?

Catania 1-1 Nuova Monterosi in the Italy - Serie C on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Nuova Monterosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Catania 57%, draw 24%, Nuova Monterosi 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Catania), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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