Virtus Francavilla 1-0 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.95
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Francavilla EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.43/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.85
+17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Francavilla
1W-2D-2L
AWAY US Latina
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2023 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
12.02.2023 US Latina US Latina 2-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
15.10.2022 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 0-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
16.03.2022 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
07.11.2021 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 2-1 HT 1-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Francavilla
1-0
AWAY US Latina
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Virtus Francavilla vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Francavilla nicked a narrow win over US Latina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Virtus Francavilla found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Virtus Francavilla had 55% of the ball to US Latina's 45%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, US Latina led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Virtus Francavilla and 0.80 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Virtus Francavilla vs US Latina?

Virtus Francavilla 1-0 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Francavilla vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Francavilla win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Virtus Francavilla 37%, draw 30%, US Latina 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Francavilla), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Francavilla) ✓ Under 2.5
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