Pergolettese 1-2 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.51
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.16/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.99
+5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
2W-1D-3L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 3-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
16.12.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
14.01.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
13.09.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-0 HT 1-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
20.02.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-1 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
17.10.2021 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
1-2
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe squeezed past Pergolettese 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day AlbinoLeffe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pergolettese had 49% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 51%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AlbinoLeffe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pergolettese and 1.17 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs AlbinoLeffe?

Pergolettese 1-2 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated an AlbinoLeffe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 31%, draw 31%, AlbinoLeffe 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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