AlbinoLeffe 3-0 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
0.96/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.31
-22% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AlbinoLeffe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pergolettese
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
14.01.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
13.09.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-0 HT 1-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
20.02.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-1 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
17.10.2021 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
30.01.2021 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
3-0
AWAY Pergolettese
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe ran out comfortable winners over Pergolettese 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 36% — and on the day AlbinoLeffe made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 47% of the ball to Pergolettese's 53%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AlbinoLeffe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AlbinoLeffe and 0.67 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese?

AlbinoLeffe 3-0 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 35%, draw 28%, Pergolettese 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pergolettese), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pergolettese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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