Arezzo 1-0 Legnago Salus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.84
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.33/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.50
-16% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Legnago Salus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2021 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 1-1 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
23.12.2020 Arezzo Arezzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
1-0
AWAY Legnago Salus
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Legnago Salus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo nicked a narrow win over Legnago Salus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arezzo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arezzo had 54% of the ball to Legnago Salus's 46%, shots finished 23-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arezzo and 1.00 for Legnago Salus.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Legnago Salus?

Arezzo 1-0 Legnago Salus in the Italy - Serie C on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Legnago Salus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 50%, draw 27%, Legnago Salus 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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