Virtus Entella 1-1 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.79/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
1-1
AWAY Athletic Carpi
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella and Athletic Carpi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Entella at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 52% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 48%, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Athletic Carpi?

Virtus Entella 1-1 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 48%, draw 28%, Athletic Carpi 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Virtus Entella), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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