FeralpiSalo 1-0 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+12.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
1.27/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.95
-27% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +60%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Virtus Verona
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.01.2023 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-2 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
24.09.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-1 HT 0-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
20.03.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
14.11.2021 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
19.05.2021 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-1 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
07.03.2021 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 4-0 HT 3-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
1-0
AWAY Virtus Verona
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo edged past Virtus Verona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 53% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 47%, shots finished 20-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FeralpiSalo and 0.83 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Virtus Verona?

FeralpiSalo 1-0 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 48%, draw 23%, Virtus Verona 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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