Renate 1-0 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
6.05
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.9pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.14/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.55
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +110%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
4W-0D-2L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
26.03.2022 Renate Renate 3-1 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
21.11.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
28.03.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
05.12.2020 Renate Renate 4-0 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
22.01.2020 Renate Renate 2-1 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
1-0
AWAY GIANA Erminio
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate squeezed past GIANA Erminio 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Renate found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Renate had 49% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 51%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renate had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Renate and 1.00 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Renate vs GIANA Erminio?

Renate 1-0 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated an GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Renate 34%, draw 27%, GIANA Erminio 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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