Padova Calcio 1-0 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.97
6+ Goals
9%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 29% vs market 28.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +77% / +77%
1.77/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+2% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +70%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
1-0
AWAY Alcione
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio squeezed past Alcione 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 57% of the ball to Alcione's 43%, shots finished 23-1.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Alcione?

Padova Calcio 1-0 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 56%, draw 23%, Alcione 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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