Renate 1-2 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.1
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
0.99/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.86
-21% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Renate Renate 0-0 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
28.03.2025 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-2 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
16.11.2024 Renate Renate 0-0 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
24.03.2024 Renate Renate 0-3 HT 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
18.11.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
11.05.2023 Renate Renate 0-0 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
1-2
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Renate vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo nicked a narrow win over Renate 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Arzignano Valchiampo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renate had 65% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 35%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Renate and 0.83 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Renate vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Renate 1-2 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Renate 38%, draw 29%, Arzignano Valchiampo 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Renate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
29 Nov 2025
16:30 Lumezzane vs Novara Analysis →
16:30 Forli vs Bra Analysis →
16:30 Gubbio vs Livorno Analysis →
16:30 Casertana vs Cavese Analysis →
16:40 Picerno vs Catania Analysis →
19:30 Pergolettese vs AlbinoLeffe Analysis →