Arzignano Valchiampo 1-2 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.69
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.7pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.1pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
1.04/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.07
-20% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Renate
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2024 Renate Renate 0-0 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
24.03.2024 Renate Renate 0-3 HT 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
18.11.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
11.05.2023 Renate Renate 0-0 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
22.04.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-3 HT 1-2 Renate Renate İTC
17.12.2022 Renate Renate 3-0 HT 2-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1-2
AWAY Renate
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate squeezed past Arzignano Valchiampo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Renate made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 58% of the ball to Renate's 42%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renate led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 1.17 for Renate.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Renate?

Arzignano Valchiampo 1-2 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 36%, draw 33%, Renate 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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