Perugia 3-0 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.61
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
1.63/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.34
+26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Pineto
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Pineto Pineto 3-1 HT 3-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
18.08.2024 Pineto Pineto 0-2 HT 0-2 Perugia Perugia İTCK
23.03.2024 Perugia Perugia 2-2 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
18.11.2023 Pineto Pineto 1-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
3-0
AWAY Pineto
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia ran out comfortable winners over Pineto 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Perugia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perugia had 51% of the ball to Pineto's 49%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Perugia and 1.50 for Pineto.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Pineto?

Perugia 3-0 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Perugia 37%, draw 30%, Pineto 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Perugia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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