Pianese 0-3 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
0.80/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.20
-38% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
223 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pianese
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Pontedera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 1-2 HT 1-2 Pianese Pianese İTC
10.08.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 1-0 HT 0-0 Pianese Pianese İTCK
07.12.2019 Pianese Pianese 1-2 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
0-3
AWAY Pontedera
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera cruised past Pianese 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Pontedera made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pianese had 65% of the ball to Pontedera's 35%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pontedera led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pianese and 1.33 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Pontedera?

Pianese 0-3 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pianese 40%, draw 25%, Pontedera 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pianese), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pianese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
28 Mar 2025
22:30 Arzignano Valchiampo vs Renate Analysis →
22:30 Perugia vs Pineto Analysis →