Union Brescia 2-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.29
6+ Goals
10%
22.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Brescia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +140%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Brescia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cittadella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2025 Cittadella Cittadella 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Brescia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Brescia
2-1
AWAY Cittadella
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Brescia vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Brescia edged past Cittadella 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Brescia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Union Brescia had 43% of the ball to Cittadella's 57%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Union Brescia vs Cittadella?

Union Brescia 2-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie C on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Brescia vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Union Brescia 49%, draw 27%, Cittadella 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Brescia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Brescia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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