Zalgiris II 4-0 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.32/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.38
-18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 1-4 HT 0-3 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
14.06.2025 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 2-1 HT 1-1 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
23.10.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
05.06.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 3-0 HT 2-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
25.10.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
16.05.2022 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-2 HT 0-2 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris II
4-0
AWAY FA Siauliai II
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris II swept aside FA Siauliai II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zalgiris II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Zalgiris II had 54% of the ball to FA Siauliai II's 46%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zalgiris II and 1.17 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II?

Zalgiris II 4-0 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris II 51%, draw 24%, FA Siauliai II 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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