Atmosfera 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.23
Over 2.5
66%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.66
No
35%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-16.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.9pp
65%
BTTS Yes
56%
+9.0pp
35%
BTTS No
44%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 17%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.10/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.40
+14% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atmosfera
0W-0D-2L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
30.08.2025 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
03.05.2025 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius nicked a narrow win over Atmosfera 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atmosfera at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, TransINVEST Vilnius led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atmosfera and 1.50 for TransINVEST Vilnius.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Atmosfera 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 50%, draw 23%, TransINVEST Vilnius 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atmosfera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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