TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.68
No
30%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
70%
BTTS Yes
56%
+14.2pp
30%
BTTS No
44%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.30/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.68
+26% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
462 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atmosfera
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.05.2025 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius edged past Atmosfera 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had TransINVEST Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (70%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Atmosfera?

TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 58%, draw 23%, Atmosfera 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
30 Aug 2025
14:00 Minija vs BFA Analysis →
18:00 Lietava Jonava vs Neptüna Klaipeda Analysis →