Lietava Jonava 0-2 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.95
Over 2.5
61%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 54%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.61/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.85
-51% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lietava Jonava
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 4
03.05.2025 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 0-2 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
08.11.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 2-5 HT 1-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
30.06.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lietava Jonava
0-2
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda beat Lietava Jonava 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lietava Jonava had 52% of the ball to Neptüna Klaipeda's 48%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lietava Jonava and 2.33 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Lietava Jonava 0-2 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 28%, draw 23%, Neptüna Klaipeda 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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