Neptüna Klaipeda 0-2 Lietava Jonava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.54/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
-12% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lietava Jonava
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 0
08.11.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 2-5 HT 1-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
30.06.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Lietava Jonava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava got the better of Neptüna Klaipeda 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Neptüna Klaipeda at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 1.00 for Lietava Jonava.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Lietava Jonava?

Neptüna Klaipeda 0-2 Lietava Jonava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Lietava Jonava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 45%, draw 33%, Lietava Jonava 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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