Hegelmann II 2-1 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.9pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
2.14/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.67
+40% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Panevezys II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
28.07.2024 Hegelmann II 1-0 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
15.04.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 2-2 HT 1-1 Hegelmann II LIT1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II squeezed past Panevezys II 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hegelmann II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hegelmann II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hegelmann II and 1.00 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Panevezys II?

Hegelmann II 2-1 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 46%, draw 25%, Panevezys II 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
3 May 2025
14:00 Tauras Taurage vs Babrungas Analysis →
15:00 Neptüna Klaipeda vs Lietava Jonava Analysis →
15:00 Atmosfera vs TransINVEST Vilnius Analysis →
15:00 Kauno Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II Analysis →
18:00 BFA vs Minija Analysis →