Kauno Zalgiris II 5-2 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.21
Over 2.5
66%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
41%
-7.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
59%
+7.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 32%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
0.70/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/2.04
-56% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-2D-2L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 0-5 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
03.06.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 4-4 HT 2-3 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
02.10.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 2-2 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
15.05.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 0-2 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
5-2
AWAY FA Siauliai II
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II cruised past FA Siauliai II 5-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kauno Zalgiris II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris II had 45% of the ball to FA Siauliai II's 55%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 3.25 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II?

Kauno Zalgiris II 5-2 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 50%, draw 25%, FA Siauliai II 26%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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