Atmosfera 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
64%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
6%
+10.8pp
20%
Draw
15%
+4.9pp
64%
Away Win
80%
-15.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 84%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.00/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.90/1.25
+29% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -46%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
227 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius squeezed past Atmosfera 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had TransINVEST Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Atmosfera 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 16%, draw 20%, TransINVEST Vilnius 64%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5
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