03/05/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Balkan vs Lödde Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
23%
Draw
26%
40%
Away Win
34%
49%
Under 2.5
48%
51%
Over 2.5
52%
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
46%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Balkan v Lödde — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Balkan
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lödde
EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+17%
/
-13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
8
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
295 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
389 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.5
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Balkan vs Lödde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Balkan saw off Lödde 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Balkan found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Balkan vs Lödde?
Balkan 2-0 Lödde in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Balkan vs Lödde?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lödde win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Balkan 38%, draw 23%, Lödde 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Lödde)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
3 May 2024