Herrestads 4-1 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 38%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.01/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.00
-44% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +73%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
247 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads cruised past Vanersborgs IF 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Herrestads as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs Vanersborgs IF?

Herrestads 4-1 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 43%, draw 25%, Vanersborgs IF 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Herrestads), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Herrestads) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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