Afturelding 1-1 Grotta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-2.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.1pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Grotta EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
3.48/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.26
+28% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +79%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Grotta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 7
02.08.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 1-1 HT 0-1 Grotta Grotta İZL1
26.05.2023 Grotta Grotta 2-3 HT 1-3 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
25.02.2023 Grotta Grotta 1-1 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
12.08.2022 Grotta Grotta 4-2 HT 0-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
03.06.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 2-2 HT 1-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
15.09.2021 Grotta Grotta 8-0 HT 6-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Grotta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding and Grotta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Afturelding at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grotta led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Afturelding and 3.00 for Grotta.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Grotta?

Afturelding 1-1 Grotta in the Iceland - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Grotta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 58%, draw 21%, Grotta 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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