Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 Njardvik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.8pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Njardvik EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.70/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/1.60
-6% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Njardvik
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Njardvik Njardvik 2-4 HT 1-2 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
02.07.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-0 HT 0-0 Njardvik Njardvik İZL1
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs Njardvik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Njardvik edged past Leiknir Reykjavik 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Leiknir Reykjavik at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leiknir Reykjavik had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 1.00 for Njardvik.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs Njardvik?

Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 Njardvik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs Njardvik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 45%, draw 24%, Njardvik 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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