Keflavik 1-2 IR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

Keflavik
1-2 HT 1-2
IR Reykjavik
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2024

Keflavik vs IR Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.61
Over 2.5
70%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+0.6pp
16%
Draw
21%
-4.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.8pp
30%
Under 2.5
35%
-4.3pp
70%
Over 2.5
65%
+4.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.9pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Keflavik v IR Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 23%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+55% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs IR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IR Reykjavik edged past Keflavik 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Keflavik at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs IR Reykjavik?

Keflavik 1-2 IR Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs IR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 60%, draw 16%, IR Reykjavik 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Keflavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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