Nykobing 2-1 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 3 May 2024

Nykobing
2-1 HT 1-1
Esbjerg
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Nykobing vs Esbjerg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
64%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
5.02
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
15%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.2pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.5pp
64%
Away Win
73%
-8.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nykobing v Esbjerg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 77%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/1.10
-100% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Nykobing vs Esbjerg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Esbjerg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.09 xG 1.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
516 Passes 172
82% Pass Accuracy 60%
30 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-3 HT 0-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
10.09.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 3-4 HT 3-3 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
28.11.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 3-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN1
27.08.2021 Nykobing Nykobing 1-1 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
11.11.2020 Nykobing Nykobing 1-0 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAK
27.08.2017 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-3 HT 0-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN1

Nykobing 2-1 Esbjerg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
2-1
AWAY Esbjerg
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing squeezed past Esbjerg 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Esbjerg carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nykobing had 36% of the ball to Esbjerg's 64%, shots finished 6-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nykobing had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nykobing and 1.83 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Esbjerg?

Nykobing 2-1 Esbjerg in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 17%, draw 19%, Esbjerg 64%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Esbjerg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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