Akademisk BK 1-1 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.15
2-3 Goals
45%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 24% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.10/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.16
-14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akademisk BK
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Middelfart
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-3 HT 0-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
23.09.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
17.10.2021 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-2 HT 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
21.08.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 1-1 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
03.11.2019 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-3 HT 1-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akademisk BK
1-1
AWAY Middelfart
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akademisk BK vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akademisk BK and Middelfart couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Middelfart at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Akademisk BK had 35% of the ball to Middelfart's 65%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Middelfart led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Akademisk BK and 2.00 for Middelfart.

What was the final score of Akademisk BK vs Middelfart?

Akademisk BK 1-1 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akademisk BK vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Akademisk BK 33%, draw 25%, Middelfart 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Middelfart), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middelfart) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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