Roskilde 6-2 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 46%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.87/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.46
-32% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
12.08.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
10.04.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-1 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
03.09.2022 Roskilde Roskilde 4-6 HT 2-3 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
6-2
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde ran out comfortable winners over Aarhus Fremad 6-2. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Roskilde made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Roskilde had 46% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 54%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roskilde and 2.75 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Aarhus Fremad?

Roskilde 6-2 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 40%, draw 24%, Aarhus Fremad 36%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roskilde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roskilde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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