Nara Club 2-1 Imabari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Imabari EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.99/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.94
-17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Imabari
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.09.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-1 HT 0-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
02.04.2023 Imabari Imabari 1-1 HT 1-0 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
2-1
AWAY Imabari
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Imabari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club squeezed past Imabari 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Imabari at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nara Club had 49% of the ball to Imabari's 51%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nara Club and 1.00 for Imabari.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Imabari?

Nara Club 2-1 Imabari in the Japan - J3 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Imabari?

Before kick-off our model rated an Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 34%, draw 24%, Imabari 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
3 May 2024
07:00 Gainare Tottori vs Omiya Ardija Analysis →
08:00 Sagamihara vs Osaka Analysis →
08:00 Ryukyu vs Kamatamare Sanuki Analysis →
08:00 Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Yokohama SCC Analysis →
08:00 Azul Claro Numazu vs Fukushima United Analysis →
08:00 Grulla Morioka vs Zweigen Kanazawa Analysis →