Pachuca 0-0 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒06:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.51
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
14%
5.8
X/2
10%
5.99
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
18%
3.68
2/X
6%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.45/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.35
+16% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
19.2 Crosses 19.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.51 xG 0.94
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
356 Passes 214
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.01.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-1 HT 2-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
17.07.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 1-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
19.03.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 0-2 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
25.07.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 0-0 HT 0-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
01.05.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-0 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
31.10.2021 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 0-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
0-0
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.42 xG 0.44
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
381 Passes 179
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pachuca and Pumas UNAM fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Pachuca at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Pachuca had 64% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 36%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.42 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pachuca and 1.17 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM?

Pachuca 0-0 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 41%, draw 24%, Pumas UNAM 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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