Ahlafors IF 2-2 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.93/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.21
-7% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ahlafors IF
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
16.06.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 3-1 HT 2-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
22.09.2023 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 1-2 HT 1-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ3
29.07.2023 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ3
15.06.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-4 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇK
03.10.2020 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 4-5 HT 4-2 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ahlafors IF
2-2
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ahlafors IF vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF and Vanersborgs IF couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ahlafors IF at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ahlafors IF had 57% of the ball to Vanersborgs IF's 43%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ahlafors IF and 2.17 for Vanersborgs IF.

What was the final score of Ahlafors IF vs Vanersborgs IF?

Ahlafors IF 2-2 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahlafors IF vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ahlafors IF 50%, draw 26%, Vanersborgs IF 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ahlafors IF), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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