Ahlafors IF 2-0 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.38
Over 2.5
65%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.1pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 29%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.19/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.73
+65% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ahlafors IF
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 3-1 HT 2-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
22.09.2023 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 1-2 HT 1-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ3
29.07.2023 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ3
15.06.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-4 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇK
03.10.2020 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 4-5 HT 4-2 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Ahlafors IF vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF saw off Vanersborgs IF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ahlafors IF as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vanersborgs IF led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ahlafors IF and 2.60 for Vanersborgs IF.

What was the final score of Ahlafors IF vs Vanersborgs IF?

Ahlafors IF 2-0 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahlafors IF vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ahlafors IF 53%, draw 22%, Vanersborgs IF 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ahlafors IF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
12 Oct 2024
00:00 Balkan vs Karlshamn Analysis →
14:00 Lindome GIF vs Savedalen Analysis →
14:00 Nosaby IF vs IFK Berga Analysis →
14:00 Kiruna FF vs IFK Lulea Analysis →
14:00 Bergnäsets vs Lucksta Analysis →
14:00 IFK Östersund vs Ytterhogdal Analysis →