Balkan 2-3 Karlshamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balkan EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.78/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.73
-7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +137%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balkan
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Karlshamn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
15.06.2024 Karlshamn 2-1 HT 1-1 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
20.10.2021 Balkan Balkan 1-0 HT 1-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
31.07.2021 Karlshamn 0-1 HT 0-1 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Balkan vs Karlshamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlshamn squeezed past Balkan 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Balkan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Balkan had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Balkan and 0.67 for Karlshamn.

What was the final score of Balkan vs Karlshamn?

Balkan 2-3 Karlshamn in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balkan vs Karlshamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balkan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Balkan 46%, draw 24%, Karlshamn 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Balkan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Balkan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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