Bergnäsets 3-2 Lucksta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
3.17
Over 2.5
72%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.39
No
28%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.9pp
28%
Under 2.5
28%
+0.2pp
72%
Over 2.5
72%
-0.2pp
72%
BTTS Yes
68%
+4.4pp
28%
BTTS No
32%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucksta EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
2.68/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/3.23
+17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergnäsets
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lucksta
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 0
26.05.2024 Lucksta 2-4 HT 1-2 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bergnäsets vs Lucksta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergnäsets edged past Lucksta 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bergnäsets as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (72%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Bergnäsets vs Lucksta?

Bergnäsets 3-2 Lucksta in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergnäsets vs Lucksta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergnäsets win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bergnäsets 48%, draw 21%, Lucksta 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergnäsets), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bergnäsets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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