Nosaby IF 2-2 IFK Berga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.8
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
28%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
32%
+19.8pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
28%
Away Win
43%
-15.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.2pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Berga EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -28%
1.40/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.10
-11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nosaby IF
1W-0D-5L
AWAY IFK Berga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
16.06.2024 IFK Berga IFK Berga 2-0 HT 0-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
01.10.2023 IFK Berga IFK Berga 1-0 HT 1-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
28.05.2023 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
24.09.2022 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 1-3 HT 0-2 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
21.08.2021 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Berga IFK Berga İSÇ4
31.07.2021 IFK Berga IFK Berga 1-0 HT 0-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Nosaby IF vs IFK Berga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nosaby IF and IFK Berga shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nosaby IF at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Berga led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nosaby IF and 1.33 for IFK Berga.

What was the final score of Nosaby IF vs IFK Berga?

Nosaby IF 2-2 IFK Berga in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nosaby IF vs IFK Berga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nosaby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nosaby IF 52%, draw 20%, IFK Berga 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nosaby IF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nosaby IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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