Kiruna FF 1-1 IFK Lulea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.49
No
35%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
63%
+1.4pp
35%
BTTS No
37%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kiruna FF EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Lulea EU Bookmakers 54%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.75/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.28
-52% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kiruna FF
1W-1D-2L
AWAY IFK Lulea
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
25.05.2024 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 3-1 HT 2-1 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
06.08.2023 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 2-1 HT 0-0 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
02.04.2023 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 6-0 HT 3-0 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
08.10.2022 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Kiruna FF vs IFK Lulea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kiruna FF and IFK Lulea couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Lulea at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (65%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IFK Lulea led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kiruna FF and 2.75 for IFK Lulea.

What was the final score of Kiruna FF vs IFK Lulea?

Kiruna FF 1-1 IFK Lulea in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kiruna FF vs IFK Lulea?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Lulea win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kiruna FF 27%, draw 23%, IFK Lulea 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Lulea), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Lulea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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