IFK Östersund 1-0 Ytterhogdal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.5pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Östersund EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ytterhogdal EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.00/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.10
+3% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Östersund
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ytterhogdal
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
25.05.2024 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 1-6 HT 1-2 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
08.10.2023 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 4-1 HT 0-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
27.06.2023 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 1-2 HT 1-1 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
01.08.2022 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
02.04.2022 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 5-0 HT 2-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
13.08.2021 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 0-2 HT 0-1 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Östersund vs Ytterhogdal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Östersund squeezed past Ytterhogdal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IFK Östersund as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Östersund had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for IFK Östersund and 0.83 for Ytterhogdal.

What was the final score of IFK Östersund vs Ytterhogdal?

IFK Östersund 1-0 Ytterhogdal in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Östersund vs Ytterhogdal?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Östersund win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IFK Östersund 46%, draw 26%, Ytterhogdal 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Östersund) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Östersund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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