Ytterhogdal 1-6 IFK Östersund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.33
Over 2.5
69%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.9pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.3pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.0pp
31%
Under 2.5
39%
-8.1pp
69%
Over 2.5
61%
+8.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ytterhogdal EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Östersund EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.31/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.67
+20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ytterhogdal
2W-0D-4L
AWAY IFK Östersund
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
08.10.2023 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 4-1 HT 0-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
27.06.2023 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 1-2 HT 1-1 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
01.08.2022 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
02.04.2022 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 5-0 HT 2-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
13.08.2021 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 0-2 HT 0-1 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
10.07.2021 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 3-1 HT 1-1 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Ytterhogdal vs IFK Östersund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Östersund cruised past Ytterhogdal 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ytterhogdal at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Östersund led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ytterhogdal and 2.17 for IFK Östersund.

What was the final score of Ytterhogdal vs IFK Östersund?

Ytterhogdal 1-6 IFK Östersund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ytterhogdal vs IFK Östersund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ytterhogdal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ytterhogdal 46%, draw 19%, IFK Östersund 35%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ytterhogdal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ytterhogdal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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