Motala AIF FK 0-1 Herrestads — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Herrestads EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.30/2.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.59
+74% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motala AIF FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Herrestads
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.06.2024 Herrestads Herrestads 2-1 HT 1-0 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Motala AIF FK vs Herrestads
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads squeezed past Motala AIF FK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Motala AIF FK at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Motala AIF FK vs Herrestads?

Motala AIF FK 0-1 Herrestads in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motala AIF FK vs Herrestads?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motala AIF FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Motala AIF FK 51%, draw 26%, Herrestads 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Motala AIF FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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