Huesca 1-2 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
6.16
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.35
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
8%
5.66
X/2
14%
5.75
X/X
19%
3.22
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
13%
4.44
2/X
5%
13.95
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.35 — our 24% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Huesca win — 39%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.6pp
30%
Draw
34%
-3.5pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.37/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.19
+10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.2 Crosses 19.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
285 Passes 315
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-3 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
04.05.2024 Huesca Huesca 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
04.10.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
22.01.2023 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
12.10.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
13.02.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 3-3 HT 3-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
1-2
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.06 xG 1.17
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
195 Passes 577
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo edged past Huesca 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Real Oviedo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huesca had 29% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 71%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.06 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Huesca and 1.17 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Real Oviedo?

Huesca 1-2 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huesca win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Huesca 39%, draw 30%, Real Oviedo 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Huesca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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